NCAA Tournament March Madness

#356 Chicago St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Chicago State’s season is defined by a string of heavy road defeats at major programs such as DePaul, St. Louis, Butler, Minnesota and Iowa that have overwhelmed a résumé otherwise filled with wins over low‑level opponents like Le Moyne, New Haven, Stonehill and Mercyhurst. The best moments have been competitive showings against regional foes such as Illinois–Chicago that suggest the team can compete with comparable mid‑majors, but those flashes are swamped by lopsided losses away from home and a near absence of quality neutral‑site victories. With the remainder of the schedule largely made up of conference and low‑major opponents, including home dates with Wagner, LIU Brooklyn and St. Francis PA and road trips to Central Connecticut and St. Francis PA, there are limited realistic opportunities to add a resume‑changing win before the field is set. That mix of damaging losses, a weak profile of wins and scant chances to salvage a marquee victory explains why winning the league’s automatic berth is the practical route to the national tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@DePaul118L92-62
11/6@St Louis44L108-86
11/11@Butler41L98-66
11/15IL Chicago199L67-63
11/18@Minnesota108L66-54
11/20@Iowa31L93-54
11/25@PFW257L90-77
11/28@Youngstown St175L87-64
12/6@Illinois St1163%
12/14@Loyola-Chicago28818%
12/16@Bowling Green1123%
12/20@Indiana240%
1/2Wagner31443%
1/4LIU Brooklyn23327%
1/8@F Dickinson35941%
1/10@Stonehill34331%
1/17Le Moyne32044%
1/19New Haven35157%
1/23@St Francis PA35438%
1/25@Mercyhurst32726%
1/29St Francis PA35460%
1/31Mercyhurst32747%
2/5@Central Conn23512%
2/7@New Haven35135%
2/12Stonehill34353%
2/14@Le Moyne32024%
2/19F Dickinson35963%
2/21Central Conn23528%
2/26@LIU Brooklyn23312%
2/28@Wagner31423%